Microsoft Overtakes Apple as Most Valued Company
On Friday, January 12th, Microsoft beat Apple as
the most valuable public company in the world after the latter held the reins
since 2021, with Microsoft’s market capitalization hovering at $2.89 trillion,
a mere $70 billion swing away from possibly falling behind Apple again which
itself stands currently at a market value of $2.82 trillion.
A decade or so ago, starting in 2012 to be exact, the two
tech giants began their push-pull dance for the world’s stock market throne.
Before that, it took Apple 22 years to finally meet Microsoft’s level and lead
the way to become the first company ever to amass $1 trillion in market
capitalization in 2018, which was worth $3 trillion a few months ago.
While Apple is still largely true to the recipe that has
always proved effective – developing computers and devices consumers love, with
the iPhone leading its product portfolio – Microsoft, though it still develops
software like the Windows operating system, is now driven by its cloud
computing services, notably its Azure cloud platform, whose revenue grew by 29%
in the last earnings report.
Earlier in 2023, Microsoft invested $10 billion in ChatGPT’s
creator OpenAI, which already powers the Bing search engine, the Edge browser,
the 365 document suite, Windows, and GPT-4 available on Azure through a segment
called Azure OpenAI Service. Microsoft’s stock has risen by 56.8% last year and
by 3.5% since the start of 2024 to reach an all-time high of $389.5.
Similarly, Apple's stock price skyrocketed in 2023,
increasing by 48.2%, and ticked to its highest closing level of $197.64 last
December. Yet it has fallen by 8.49% despite releasing its new iPhone 15 lineup
last September.
iPhone 15 Pro models come with some of Apple’s best
innovations yet, including one of the world's most powerful chips capable of
rapidly processing artificial intelligence workloads of any smartphone, which
analysts expect to lift the company’s sales in the current quarter after
falling for three consecutive quarters. But fears of the staggering demand for
smartphones globally, especially in China, still heavily linger over Apple and
the industry at large.
It is impossible to predict whether or not Microsoft will
keep the lead over Apple for the long or even the short run. Still, many analysts
predict Microsoft will maintain a $94 trillion lead over Apple in the
foreseeable future with an estimated market cap of $3.16 trillion and $3.07
trillion, respectively.
These calculations largely stem from the view that AI would be the major driver for long-term financial opportunities in the market, with Goldman Sachs predicting AI to add $7 trillion to the global economy by 2030, giving many analysts the idea that Microsoft's lead will last for a while.